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ñêà÷àòü ðåôåðàòûËàáîðàòîðíàÿ ðàáîòà: Òåîðèÿ âåðîÿòíîñòåé

Ì (Õ+Ó)                

   2

Õ ,  Õ

0 1
Ð 0,3 0,7

            2

Õ ,  Õ

0 1
Ð 0,6 0,4

                                 2

Ì (Õ) = 0,7 = Ì (Õ  )

                                  2

Ì (Ó) = 0,4 = Ì ( Ó   )

 =  0,7 + 2 * 0,7 * 0,4 + 0,4 = 1,66


16. Õ, Ó íåçàâèñèìûå íåèçâåñòíûå âåëè÷èíû Ïðèíèìàþò çíà÷åíèå 0 è 1.

(çàäàíèå êàê â 15).

 

Õ 0 1
Ð 0,3 0,7
Ó 0 1
Ð 0,5 0,5

        õ - ó                             

Ì (3       )   -  ?

           õ-ó                   õ         -ó                õ                  -ó

Ì (3      )  = Ì (3    * 3   ) =Ì (3  ) * Ì (3   )   = 2,4 *  2  = 1,6

                                                                                         3

           õ

      3

1 3
Ð 0,3 0,7

         -ó  

      3

1

      1

        3  

Ð 0,5 0,5

          Õ                                                                                -ó

Ì (3   ) = 0,3 + 2,1 = 2,4                           Ì (3   ) = 0,5 + 0,5  = 4  * 0,5 = 1

                                                                                              3        3             3

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17. Ïðîèçâîäèòñÿ 10240 íåçàâèñèìûõ èñïûòàíèé, ñîñòîÿùèõ â òîì, ÷òî

ïîäáðàñûâàþòñÿ 9 ìîíåò

Õ – ÷èñëî èñïûòàíèé, â êîòîðûõ âûïàëî 3 ãåðáà

Ì (Õ) -?

1-èñïò.   -   9 ìîíåò           

                   9 èñïûòàíèé  Ð =  1

                                                  2    

                     3             3                6          3               9

Ð(Ã = 3) = Ñ9  * ( 1 )   *  ( 1 )    = Ñ9   *  ( 1 ) = 84 *   1    -   21  = …

                             2           2                       2               512     128

n = 10240 èñïûòàíèé

Ð = 21 ;  Ì (Õ) = np = 21 * 10240  = 1680

128                            128

18. Â ñåðèè íåçàâèñèìûõ èñïûòàíèé  (îäíî èñïûòàíèå çà åä.âðåìåíè)

âåðîÿòíîñòü íàñòóïëåíèÿ À ðàâíà 1

                                                           8.

Ïóñòü Ò-âðåìÿ îæèäàíèÿ íàñòóïëåíèÿ ñîáûòèÿ À 14 ðàç. Íàéòè Ì (Ò)1  Ä (Ò).

Õ1 – âðåìÿ îæèäàíèÿ äî ïåðâîãî íàñòóïëåíèÿ À

Õ2 – âðåìÿ îæèäàíèÿ îò ïåðâîãî íàñòóïëåíèÿ À äî 2-ãî  

Ò = Õ1 + Õ2 +Õ3 + ..Õ14

Õi   Ð =  1                                                           

               8                                                          7/8

Ì (Õi) =  1 = 8 ; d = 7             Ä (Õi) = =           = 56

                 8               8                              2            2

                                                                p        1/8

                                                                                                

                                                                        

Ì (Ò) = 14Ì  * (Õ1) 14 * 8 = 112

Ä (Ò) = Ä(X1 ) = 14 * 56 = 784

19. Âåëè÷èíû Õ1 …..Õ320 ðàñïðåäåëåíû ïî Áèíîìèíàëüíîìó çàêîíó ñ ïàðàìåòðàìè  

ï =4, ð =  3 Íàéòè Ì (Õ1 + Õ2  + …+ Õ320)=?

                8

            2                 2                             2

Ì (Õ1  + …..+Õ  320) = 320Ì (Õ1  )   =               Õ1 – áèíîìèíàëüíîå

            2                         2                                Ì (Õ1) = ïð =  3

= Ì(Õ1  )  = Ä(Õ1) + Ì   (Õ1) =                                             2

                      2                                                 Ä (Õ1 ) = nðq = 35    =  5

 =  153      = 15 + 9  = 51                                                      2     8       16

     16     2          16    4     16    

=  320 * 51  =  1020

              16

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20. Âåëè÷èíû Õ1 …..Õ18 ðàñïðåäåëåíû ïî çàêîíó Ïóàññîíà ñ îäèíàêîâûì 

ìàò. îæèäàíèÿì ðàâíûì  8.

                     2                  2

Íàéòè Ì (Õ1  +…+ Õ18   ) - ?

   M (Õ) = Ä (Õ) = l   =  8

          2                 2                           2                                       2 

Ì (Õ1  +…+ Õ18 ) = 18 Ì (Õ1  ) = 18 (Ä (Õ1) + Ì  (Õi ) )=18(8 + 64)=18 * 72=1296

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21.   Õ ðàâíîìåðíî ðàñïðåäåë¸í íà îòð. [ - 8,2 ]

Ð ( 1 )>5 = Ð (0< Õ <1 )  =  > (0< Õ <0,5)  =

     Õ                          5

1 – 5 >0 ; 1 – 5Õ  > 0;   Õ –1/5 < 0 Û (0< Õ <0,5)      

Õ                 Õ                  Õ

                                  

1 5Õ  > 0;   Õ – 1/5 < 0

    Õ                   Õ

[ õ, â ]

            0,Õ>à                                         0; Õ <à

f (Õ)=       ;  à < Õ < â      F (Õ) =     õ à ; à £ Õ £ à  Û 0< Õ  1/5   

             â –î                                            â –à                                   

              0,Õ > â                                     1, Õ >B                                 

                                                                                                                         

F (Õ) = Õ + 8 = F (1/5)  - F ( 0 ) =1/5  + 8  -   8  =     

         5                                                10          10     50

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22. Õ ðàâíîìåðíî ðàñïðåäåëåíà íà îòð. [ -17; 10 ]

          2                                 2

Ð ( Õ   > 64) = 1- Ð ( Õ   < 64) = 1 – 16

                                                           27     

        2

Ð (Õ  < 64 ) = Ð (-8 < Õ <8)  =

                    0; Õ < -17

  F(Õ) =       Õ + 17 , -17 £ Õ  £ 10   

                        27

                    1, Õ > 10

=  F (8) – F (-8) = 8 + 17  - -8 + 17  =   16

                                27            27           27

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23. Õ – ðàâíîìåðíî ðàñïðåäåëåíà íà îòð. [ -1; 1 ] 

           8/9           X [a,b] ; f (x)                            

Ì ( Õ     )                     a                                                 0; x <-1

                        M(x)= ∫  x f(x) dx          f (x)=       -1<x<1

                                     b                                                 0; x>1           

                                          a

                        M(y(x))=∫ y (x) f (x) dx

                                          b

        8/9         1         8/9                     17/9   1  

M(X     ) = ∫  ½* X     DX = ½ * X            = 9/17       

                   -1                             17/9      -1

24. Õ – ðàâíîìåðíî ðàñïðåäåëåíà íà îòð. [ 0.1 ]

             9/10                       9/10

Ä ( 19Õ      )  = 361 (Õ       )

         9/10                      9/10   2              2     9/10                  9/4            2      9/10          9/10 * 2

Ä (Õ       ) = Ì ( (Õ       )  )  - Ì  (Õ     )  = Ì (Õ   )  -  Ì  (Õ      )    Õ     

__________________________________________________________________________________________________________

25. Õ – ðàâíîìåðíî ðàñïðåäåëåíà íà îòð. [ 5; 8 ] * Ä (24x+ 36) - ?

Ä (24Õ + 36) = Ä (24Õ) = 576 * Ä (Õ) = 576 * 3  = 432

                         2                                                              4

Ä (Õ) = ( â – à )

                  12

                      2

Ä (Õ) = 8 – 5  =   9   =   3

               12         12       4

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26. Õ1,……Õ2  –   Íåçàâèñèìûå è ðàñïðåäåëåííûå ïî ïîêàçàòåëüíîìó çàêîíó.

                                                        2

Íàéòè  Ì [ (Õ1 + Õ2  + …..+ Õ10)   ], åñëè  Ì (Õi ) = 4.

Ì (Õ) =   1

                l

Ä (Õ)  =    1

                         2            

                 l

M (Õi ) = > Ä (Õi)  = 16

                                 2                                                    2                                                                                 2                      

Ì [ (Õ1  +….+ Õ10)  ]=Ä(Õ1  +…+ Õ10) + Ì   (Õ1  +….+ Õ10) =10Ä (Õ1)+[ 10Ì (Õ1) ]=

                           2 

= 160 + ( 10 * 4)    = 1760

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                                          2

Ì(Õ) =1/ l ;  Ä(Õ) =  1/l

27.  Õ –ðàñïðåäåëåí ïî ïîêàçàòåëüíîìó ïðèçíàêó

                                       2

Íàéòè  Ì [ (Õ + 8)  ] , åñëè Ä (Õ) = 36                     Ì (Õ)=6

                    2                2                                          2                                                                        2

Ì (Õ + 8)   = M(Õ   + 16õ + 64) = Ì (Õ   ) + 16Ì (Õ) + Ì (64) = Ä (Õ) + Ì  (Õ) +

+ 16 Ì(Õ) + 64 =36 + 36 + 96 + 64 =232

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 28. Õ ïîêàçàòåëüíîå ðàñïðåäåëåíèå; Õ – ïîêàçàòåëüíûé çàêîí


                 0, Õ < 0

 F (Õ) =            -2õ                                                                                                                                         

                 1 – å     , Õ >0,  Íàéòè Ln  (1 Ð ( Õ < 6) )  = Ln (1 – F (6)  ) =

                      -6/7                                      -6/7                    -6/7

=  F (6) = 1 – å      =   Ln  ( 1 – (1 – å    ) ) = Ln å       =  -   6/7

 

29.  (Õ) -  ñëó÷àéíàÿ âåëè÷èíà 


                    0, Õ < 10

ƒ (Õ) =         Ñ   ; Õ  ≥ 10

                             5

                    Õ

Ñ - ? ;   Ì (Õ) - ?

   ¥                                      ¥                     îïð.                B                                          ¥     -5                                

∫    ƒ  (Õ)dõ = 1 => ∫      ñ    dõ =    lim     ∫   = cdx  = C lim    ∫  X   dx  =

 10                              10       5             b->¥     10             5             b->¥    10

                                           Õ                                       X

                                  b

                           -4                            -4           4                   4                        4    

= C *  lim            = C lim      -  b     +  10       = C *  10   = > 1  = C  10    = >

           b->¥      -4              b->¥          4           4                   4                       4

                                10

                             4

=>  C = 4 * 10 


                     0; Õ < 10

ƒ (Õ) =                    4

                      4 * 10  ,   Õ  ³ 10

                             5

                         Õ     

                       ¥                                   ¥                   4

Ì (Õ)  =  ∫   Õ ƒ (Õ) dx  =  ∫     4 * 10 dx

              10                            10           4

                                                             Õ

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30. Õ – íîðìàëüíàÿ ñëó÷àéíàÿ âåëè÷èíà

Ì (Õ) = 16

Ä (Õ)  = 25

? Ð (Õ>10,5)


=    1   -  f     10,5 – 16   =  0,5  +  f (1,1) = 0,5 + 0,364 = 0,864

2                 5

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1.    Ð (d £ X  £ b )  =  f  b – m     - f   d - m

                                             d                      d  


2.     P ( X < b  )  =   1   +  f     b – m

2               d        


3. P ( X > b  )  =  1    -   f    b – m

                         2                  d    


Ñòðàíèöû: 1, 2


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